Automobile demand, model cycle and age effects

  1. Moral, María José
  2. Jaumandreu, Jordi
Revue:
Spanish economic review

ISSN: 1435-5469

Année de publication: 2007

Volumen: 9

Número: 3

Pages: 193-218

Type: Article

DOI: 10.1007/S10108-006-9014-Y DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR

D'autres publications dans: Spanish economic review

Résumé

This paper is aimed at exploring the existence of typical patterns of automobile model life and the formal test for age effects in a discrete-choice demand framework estimated with data on the models sold in the Spanish market. Estimates show that the evolution of market shares entails and quantifies age effects resulting from consumer demand. These effects are clearly distinguishable from the impacts generated by changes in attributes and firm pricing. They carry an exogenous factor that is full of implications for firm behaviour over the life of a model: the modification of demand price sensitivities. As a result, for example, equilibrium own-price elasticities are observed to decrease until the fourth year of a model life, and then to increase again.

Références bibliographiques

  • Arellano M, Honoré B (2001) Panel data models: some recent developments. In: Heckman J, Leamer E (eds) Handbook of Econometrics, vol 5, ch. 5. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 3229–3296
  • Arellano M, Bover O (1995) Another look at the instrumental-variable estimation of error components models. J Econ 68:29–51
  • Asplund M, Sandin R (1999) The survival of new products. Rev Ind Organization 15:219–237
  • Berry ST (1994) Estimating discrete-choice models of product differentiation. RAND J Econ 25:242–262
  • Berry ST, Levinsohn J, Pakes A (1995) Automobile prices in market equilibrium. Econometrica 63:841–890
  • Berry ST, Levinsohn J, Pakes A (1999) Voluntary export restraints on automobiles: evaluating a trade policy. Am Econ Rev 89:400–430
  • Berry ST, Levinsohn J, Pakes A (2004) Differentiated product demand systems from a combination of micro and macro data: the new car market. J Polit Econ 112(1):68–105
  • Bhargava A, Sargan JD (1983) Estimating dynamic random effects models from panel data covering short time periods. Econometrica 51:1635–1659
  • Blundell R, Bond S (2000) GMM estimation with persistent panel data: an application to production functions. Econ Rev 19(3):321–340
  • Bresnahan TF (1987) Competition and collusion in the American automobile industry: the 1955 price war. J Ind Econ 35:457–482
  • Bresnahan TF, Stern S, Trajtenberg M (1997) Market segmentation and the sources of rents from innovation: personal computers in the late 1980s. RAND J Econ 28:17–44
  • Cardell NS (1997) Variance components structures for the extreme-value and logistic distributions with applications to models of heterogeneity. Econ Theory 13(2):185–213
  • Davis P (2006) Spatial competition in retail markets: movie theatres. RAND J Econ (in press)
  • Feenstra R, Levinsohn J (1995) Estimating markups and market conduct with multidimensional product attributes. Rev Econ Stud 62:19–52
  • Goeree M (2005) Advertising in the US personal computer industry. Claremont McKenna College, Mimeo
  • Goldberg PK (1995) Product differentiation and oligopoly in international markets: the case of the U.S. automobile industry. Econometrica 63:891–951
  • Goldberg PK, Verboven F (2001) The evolution of price dispersion in the European car market. Rev Econ Stud 68:811–848
  • Greenstein SM, Wade JB (1998) The product life cycle in the commercial mainframe computer market, 1968–1982. RAND J Econ 29:772–789
  • Kiefer M (1988) Economic duration data and hazard functions. J Econ Lit 26:646–679
  • Klepper S (1996) Entry, exit, growth and innovation over the product life cycle. Am Econ Rev 86:562–583
  • Kwoka JE (1996) Altering the product life cycle of consumer durables: the case of minivans. Manage Decis Econ 17:17–25
  • Moral MJ (1999) El Mercado De Automóviles En España: Un Modelo De Oligopolio Con Producto Diferenciado. Doctoral thesis, Universidad Complutense de Madrid
  • Nevo A (2000) A practitioner’s guide to estimation of random coefficients logit models of demand. J Econ Manag Strategy 9:513–548
  • Newey WK, West KD (1987) A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica 55:703–708
  • Nickell S (1981) Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects. Econometrica 49:1417–1426
  • Petrin A (2002) Quantifying the benefits of new products: the case of minivan. J Polit Econ 110(4):705–729
  • Stavins J (1995) Model entry and exit in a differentiated-product industry: the personal computer market. Rev Econ Stat 77:571–584
  • Verboven F (1996) International price discrimination in the European car market. RAND J Econ 27:240–268
  • Wand MP, Jones MC (1995) Kernel Smoothing. Chapman& Hall, London