Why wheat?International patterns of wheat demand, 1939–2010

  1. Ángel Luis González-Esteban 1
  1. 1 Universidad de Burgos
    info

    Universidad de Burgos

    Burgos, España

    ROR https://ror.org/049da5t36

Revista:
Investigaciones de Historia Económica = Economic History Research

ISSN: 1698-6989

Año de publicación: 2017

Volumen: 13

Número: 3

Páginas: 135-150

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.1016/J.IHE.2017.06.001 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openAcceso abierto editor

Otras publicaciones en: Investigaciones de Historia Económica = Economic History Research

Resumen

Casi la mitad de las calorías que componen la ingesta calórica mundial proviene de los cereales, y de ese porcentaje, aproximadamente un cuarto proviene del trigo. Gracias al comercio internacional, una gran variedad de productos hechos de trigo es consumida en lugares en los que su producción es prácticamente imposible. Debido a ello, el funcionamiento del mercado internacional de trigo ha adquirido una importancia crucial para la seguridad alimentaria mundial. Sin embargo, esto no siempre ha sido así: en términos históricos, la globalización del consumo de trigo es un fenómeno relativamente reciente. El objetivo de este trabajo es doble. En primer lugar, se identifican las tendencias fundamentales en el consumo de trigo, por diferentes grupos de países, durante el periodo 1939-2010. En segundo lugar, se ofrece una explicación detallada de esas tendencias.

Información de financiación

Financial support was provided by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (projects HAR2013-40760-R and HAR2016-75010-R).

Financiadores

Referencias bibliográficas

  • Atkins, P., Lummel, P., Oddy, D.J., (eds.) Food and the City in Europe Since 1800, 2007, Ashgate Publishing, Aldershot.
  • Boughton, D., Reardon, T., Will promotion of coarse grain processing turn the tide for traditional cereals in the Sahel? Recent empirical evidence from Mali. Food Policy 22:4 (1997), 307–316.
  • Bovard, J., How American Food Aid Keep the Third World Hungry, 665, 1998, August 1, The Heritage Foundation Backgrounder.
  • Burnett, J., Plenty and Want. A Social History of Food in England from 1815 to the Present Day. 1989, Routledge, London.
  • Burnett, J., Oddy, D., The Origins and Development of Food Policies in Europe. 1994, Leicester University Press, London.
  • Byerlee, D., The Political Economy of Third World Food Imports: the case of wheat. Economic Development and Cultural Change 35:2 (1987), 307–328.
  • Canals, L., Amante, B., Wheat interchanges in Europe: transport optimization reduces emissions. Transportation Research 41 (2015), 416–422.
  • Carter, C.A., Revoredo, C., Smith, V.H., The longer-run dynamics of world wheat prices: the role of stocks. Antle, J.M., Smith, V.H., (eds.) The Economics of World Wheat Markets, 1999, CABI, New York, 75–107.
  • Carter, C.A., Zhong, F., China's past and future role in the grain trade. Economic Development and Cultural Change 39 (1991), 791–814.
  • Carter, C.A., Zhong, F., Rural wheat consumption in China. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 81:3 (1999), 582–592.
  • Collingham, L., The Taste of War: World War II and the Battle for Food. 2011, Penguin Press, New York.
  • Collins, E.J.T., Why wheat? Choice of food grains in Europe in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Journal of European Economic History 12 (1993), 7–38.
  • Cranfield, J., Eales, J., Hertel, T., Preckel, P., Model selection when estimating and predicting consumer demands using international cross-section data. Empirical Economics 28 (2003), 353–364.
  • Darlymple, D.G., Development and Spread of High-Yielding Varieties of Wheat and Rice in the Less Developed Nations. 1974, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
  • Delgado, C.L., Reardon, T., Cereal consumption shifts and policy changes in developing countries: general trends and case studies from the West African semi-arid tropics. 1991 International Sorghum and Millet CRSP Conference Proceedings, INTSORMIL Publication, 1991, 92–101.
  • Dennis, A.L., Brazil's Wheat Market – A Trade Model and Policy Analysis. (PhD thesis), 1987, Faculty of the Graduate College of the Oklahoma State University.
  • Eggleston, R.C., Determinants of the levels and distribution of PL 480 food aid: 1955–79. World Development 15:6 (1987), 797–808.
  • Fabiosa, J., Westernization of the Asian Diet: The Case of Rising Wheat Consumption in Indonesia. 2006, CARD Working Papers no. 06-WP 422. Center for Agricultural and Rural Development, Iowa University.
  • Fabiosa, J., Globalization and trends in world food consumption. Lusk, J., Roosen, J., Shogren, J.F., (eds.) The Oxford Handbook of the Economics Food Consumption and Policy, 2012, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 591–611.
  • Fairbairn, M., Framing Resistance: International Food Regimes and the Roots of Food Sovereignty. (PhD thesis), 2008, University of Wisconsin, Madison.
  • FAO, Food Outlook 1997. 1997, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome.
  • Friedmann, H., Distance and durability: shaky foundations of the world food economy. Third World Quarterly 13:2 (1992), 371–383.
  • Garnaut, R., Ma, G., Grain in China: A Report. East Asian Analytical Unit. 1992, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Canberra.
  • Ghoshray, A., Market delineation and price leadership in the world wheat market: a cointegration analysis. Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 35:2 (2006), 311–326.
  • González Esteban, A.L., Patterns of world wheat trade 1945–2010: the long hangover from the second food regime. Journal of Agrarian Change, 2017 (forthcoming) (Accept: 26.01.17). doi:10.1111/joac.12219.
  • González Esteban, A.L., (PhD thesis) 2017b. Essays on the World Wheat Economy, 1939 -2010. July 11th, Universidad de Barcelona.
  • Götz, L., Glauben, T., Brümmer, B., Wheat export restrictions and domestic market effects in Russia and Ukraine during the food crisis. Food Policy 38 (2013), 214–226.
  • Harwood, J., Europe's Green Revolution and Others Since. The Rise and Fall of Peasant-Friendly Plant Breeding. 2011, Routledge, London.
  • Inglett, G., Wheat: Production and Utilization. 1974, The AVI Publishing Company, Westport, CT.
  • Kennedy, E., Reardon, T., Shift to non-traditional grains in the diets of East and West-Africa: role of women's opportunity cost of time. Food Policy 19:1 (1994), 45–56.
  • Kent, N.L., Evers, A.D., Technology of Cereals: An Introduction for Students of Food Science and Agriculture. 1994, Pergamon, Oxford.
  • Larue, B., Is wheat a homogenous product?. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 39:1 (1991), 103–117.
  • Lauweryssen, D.L., Hawkins, M.H., Veeman, M.M., Lehrohl, M.L., Market Promotion in the International Wheat Trade. Project Report. 1989, University of Alberta, Department of Rural Economy.
  • Lehfeldt, R.A., The elasticity of demand for wheat. Economic Journal 24 (1914), 212–217.
  • Liefert, W., Swinnen, J., Changes in Agricultural Markets in Transition Economies. Agricultural Economic Report no. 806., 2002, Economic Research Service, USDA.
  • Liefert, W., Serova, E., Liefert, O., The growing importance of the former USSR countries in world agricultural markets. Agricultural Economics 41 (2010), 65–71.
  • Malembaum, W., The World Wheat Economy 1885–1939. 1953, Harvard University Press, Cambridge.
  • Mason, N.M., Jayne, T.S., Shiferaw, B., Wheat Consumption in Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends, Drivers, and Policy Implications. MSU International Development Working Paper. 2012, CIMMYT, Texcoco.
  • Maurette, F., Les grands marchés des matières premières. 1922, A Colin, Paris.
  • Maxwell, S.J., Singer, H., Food aid to developing countries: a survey. World Development 7:3 (1979), 225–246.
  • McMahon, P., 2013. Feeding Frenzy. Profile Books Ltd, Great Britain.
  • Mitchell, D.O., Mielke, M., Wheat: the global market policies and priorities. Aksoy, M.A., Beghin, J.C., (eds.) Global Agricultural Trade and Developing Countries, 2005, The World Bank, Washington, DC, 195–214.
  • Mokyr, J., Stein, R., Science health and household technology: the effect of the Pasteur revolution on consumer demand. Bresnahan, T.F., Gordon, R.J., (eds.) The Economics of New Goods, 1997, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 143–205.
  • Morgan, D., Merchants of Grain. 1979, Viking Press, New York.
  • Morris, M.L., Byerlee, D., Narrowing the wheat gap in sub-Saharan Africa: a review of consumption and production issues. Economic Development and Cultural Change 41:4 (1993), 737–761.
  • Pingali, P., Westernization of Asian Diets and the Transformation of Food Systems: Implications for Research and Policy. ESA Working Paper No. 04-17. 2004, The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
  • Pointon, R.M., Measuring the gains from government export promotion. European Journal of Marketing 12 (1978), 451–562.
  • Popkin, B.M., Nutritional patterns and transitions. Population and Development Review 19:1 (1993), 138–157.
  • Popkin, B.M., The rapid shifts in stages of the nutrition transition. Kawachi, I., Wamala, S., (eds.) The Global Obesity Epidemic, 2006, Globalization and Health, Oxford U.P., New York, 68–80.
  • Prebisch, R., El desarrollo económico de la América Latina y algunos de sus principales problemas. Boletín Económico de América Latina, Naciones Unidas, 12(1), 1952.
  • Patel, R., Stuffed and Starved: Markets, Power and the Hidden Battle for the World Food System. 2007, Portobello, London.
  • Pujol, J., Cussó X., La transición nutricional en Europa Occidental, 1865–2000. Historia social 80 (2014), 133–155.
  • Rozelle, S.D., Huang, J., Wheat in China: Supply, Demand, and Trade in the Twenty-First Century. Special Report No. 3., 1998, Center for Chinese Agricultural Policy, Beijing.
  • Scholiers, P., Post-1945 global food developments. Freedman, P., Chaplin, J.E., Albala, K., (eds.) Food in Time and Place. The American Historical Association Companion to Food History, 2014, University of California Press, Oakland, 340–364.
  • Schultz, T.W., Value of US farm surpluses to underdeveloped countries. Journal of Farm Economics 42:5 (1960), 1019–1030.
  • Senauer, B., Sahn, D., Alderman, H., The effect of the value of time on food consumption patterns in developing countries: Evidence from Sri Lanka. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 68:4 (1986), 920–927.
  • Shalaby, S., Yanagida, J.F., Hassler, J.B., United States market share of Latin American wheat imports: disaggregated analysis and application of the Armington model. Journal of Economic Studies 15:5 (1988), 24–33.
  • Smith, V.H., Wheat quality and wheat yields: trade-offs among price, yield, profit and risk. Special Report No. 5, Prepared as a chapter in 2000 Wheat Basebook., 2000, Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Washington, DC, USA.
  • Spoerer, M., Fortress Europe in Long-Term Perspective: Agricultural Protection in the European Community 1957–2003. MPRA Paper No. 24120. 2010, German Historical Institute, Paris.
  • Stigler, G., The Theory of Price. 1966, MacMillan, New York.
  • Uri, N.D., Douglas Beach, E., A note on quality differences and United States/Canadian wheat trade. Food Policy 22:4 (1997), 359–367.
  • US Wheat Associates, Wheat Exports – Market Development Programs Increase Producer Income. 1986, USWA, Washington, DC.
  • USDA, PS&D (Production Supply and Distribution) View Database. 1998, Economic Resource Service, US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
  • Vellianitis-Fidas, A., Marsar Manfredi, E., P.L. 480 Concessional Sales. History, Procedures, Negotiating and Implementing Agreements., 1977, USDA Foreign Agricultural Economic Report No. 142, USDA-ERS.
  • Vengroff, R., Mei Tsai, Y., Food hunger and dependency: PL480 aid to the third world. Journal of Asian and African Studies 17:3 (1982), 250–265.
  • Wheat Flour Institute, From Wheat to Flour. 1981, Wheat Flour Institute, Washington, DC.
  • Whitman, P., The Making of the European Community's Wheat Policy 1973–88: An International Political Economy Analysis. PhD thesis submitted to the University of London., 1989, London School of Economics and Political Science.
  • Williams, G.W., Returns to US soybean export market development. Agribusiness 1:3 (1985), 243–263.
  • Winders, B., The Politics of Food Supply: U.S.: Agricultural Policy in the World Economy. 2009, Yale University Press, New Haven/London.
  • Yates, P.L., Food Land and Manpower in Western Europe. 1960, Macmillan and Coltd, New York.
  • Yu, W., Hertel, T., Preckel, P., Eales, J., Projecting world food demand using alternative demand systems. Economic Modelling 21 (2002), 99–129.