The determinants of world wheat trade, 1963-2010A gravity equation approach

  1. González Esteban, Ángel Luis 1
  1. 1 Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia
    info

    Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02msb5n36

Revista:
Historia agraria: Revista de agricultura e historia rural

ISSN: 1139-1472

Año de publicación: 2021

Número: 83

Páginas: 165-190

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.26882/HISTAGRAR.083E05G DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openDialnet editor

Otras publicaciones en: Historia agraria: Revista de agricultura e historia rural

Resumen

La configuración internacional del comercio de trigo ha experimentado grandes transformaciones durante los últimos cincuenta años. El volumen total de trigo comerciado internacionalmente se ha multiplicado por cinco, han aparecido nuevos líderes exportadores y un gran mercado de importación ha aparecido en los países menos desarrollados. El objetivo de este artículo es identificar los determinantes principales de todos estos cambios. Para ello, se ha estimado un modelo de gravedad basado en datos de flujos bilaterales de comercio. La información comercial se ha obtenido de UN-COMTRADE (2014) y se ha hecho uso de otras fuentes para incorporar variables explicativas tales como el producto interior bruto (PIB) tanto de los países exportadores como de los importadores, el PIB per capita, la producción nacional de trigo, diferentes medidas de distancia y proximidad cultural o los acuerdos comerciales vigentes. Los resultados obtenidos se discuten siguiendo un enfoque cliométrico.

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