Una propuesta metodológica para la cuantificación de los aspectos geopolíticos de la seguridad energética

  1. Javier García-Verdugo Sales 1
  2. Beatriz Muñoz Delgado 2
  3. Enrique San Martín Gonzalez 2
  1. 1 Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia
    info

    Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02msb5n36

  2. 2 Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
    info

    Universidad Autónoma de Madrid

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/01cby8j38

Journal:
Revista de economía mundial

ISSN: 1576-0162

Year of publication: 2015

Issue: 39

Pages: 45-76

Type: Article

More publications in: Revista de economía mundial

Abstract

This article aims to develop a method of quantitatively estimating the geopolit¬ical risk of energy supply as a rigorous alternative to the use of future scenarios based on subjective probabilities. Using factor analysis, four partial risk factors have been identified (economic, political, social and energy-specific) that were aggregated into a composite Socioeconomic Energy Risk Index (SERI). This indicator of a country's or a corridor's energy security of supply can also be usefully employed in model and scenario building.

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