Una propuesta metodológica para la cuantificación de los aspectos geopolíticos de la seguridad energética
- Javier García-Verdugo Sales 1
- Beatriz Muñoz Delgado 2
- Enrique San Martín Gonzalez 2
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1
Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia
info
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2
Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
info
ISSN: 1576-0162
Année de publication: 2015
Número: 39
Pages: 45-76
Type: Article
D'autres publications dans: Revista de economía mundial
Résumé
This article aims to develop a method of quantitatively estimating the geopolit¬ical risk of energy supply as a rigorous alternative to the use of future scenarios based on subjective probabilities. Using factor analysis, four partial risk factors have been identified (economic, political, social and energy-specific) that were aggregated into a composite Socioeconomic Energy Risk Index (SERI). This indicator of a country's or a corridor's energy security of supply can also be usefully employed in model and scenario building.
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