“Una propuesta metodológica para la cuantificación de los aspectos geopolíticos de la seguridad energética”.

  1. Javier García-Verdugo Sales 1
  2. Beatriz Muñoz Delgado 2
  3. Enrique San Martín Gonzalez 2
  1. 1 Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia
    info

    Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02msb5n36

  2. 2 Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
    info

    Universidad Autónoma de Madrid

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/01cby8j38

Revista:
Revista de economía mundial

ISSN: 1576-0162

Año de publicación: 2015

Número: 39

Páginas: 45-76

Tipo: Artículo

Otras publicaciones en: Revista de economía mundial

Resumen

El objetivo de este artículo es desarrollar un método para estimar cuantitati¬vamente el riesgo de abastecimiento energético de carácter geopolítico que proporcione una alternativa más rigurosa que el uso habitual de escenarios futuros basados en probabilidades subjetivas. Utilizando el análisis factorial se han identificado cuatro factores parciales de riesgo energético (económico, político, social y del propio sector energético) que se agregan para calcular el Índice de Riesgo Energético de origen Socioeconómico (IRES). Este estimador de la seguridad energética de un país o de un corredor puede también usarse en la construcción de modelos y escenarios.

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